Amidst All the Oversupply, Crude Oil Experienced a Rise in Early Markets Due To This Reason

Oil prices rose early on Monday, 12th June 2017 as future traders bet the market may have bottomed after a recent steep fall, even as physical markets remain bloated by oversupply, especially from a relentless rise in U.S. drilling.

Brent crude futures were trading at $48.44 per barrel at 0101 GMT, up 29 cents, or 0.6 per cent, from their last close. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures were at $46.09 per barrel, up 26 cents, or 0.6 per cent.

Traders said that the price rises came on the back of speculative traders upping their investment into crude futures, by taking on large volumes of long positions, which would profit from a further price rise.

The rise in new long positions comes after Brent and WTI crude futures have fallen by around 10 per cent below their opening levels on May 25, when an OPEC-led policy to cut oil output was extended to cover the first quarter of 2018 instead of expiring this June.

While the financial market seems to have some confidence that prices may have bottomed out, the physical market remains bloated, especially due to a rise in U.S. drilling for new oil production.

This ongoing drive to find new oil has driven up U.S. output by more than 10 per cent since mid-2016, to over 9.3 million bpd, a figure the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) says will likely rise above 10 million bpd by next year, challenging top exporter Saudi Arabia.

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